With the standings as they are, the next step in figuring out the race to the championship, is to look at the remaining games:
NCW plays at Shenandoah, and ends the season hosting Averett.
CNU plays at Maryville, and ends the season hosting Methodist
Averett hosts Ferrum, and ends the season at NCW
Ferrum plays at Averett, and ends the season hosting Maryville
Shenandoah hosts NCW and ends the season at Greensboro.
First, do not look at the overall record, as it has no direct bearing on the conference championship.
For Ferrum, you have to win both games, and hope for NCW and CNU to lose both of their games.
Anything short of that, and your out of the running.
The way things line up, I see Christopher Newport as having the easiest road to being the automatic qualifier for the NCAA. The game at Maryville is not a "gimme" by any means, but at worst, I see them splitting and finishing 5-2. The likelihood is that they will win both.
North Carolina Wesleyan cannot relax on either game, but are playing solid. They have to win both and hope for a CNU loss. If they end the season tied, the tie breaker would go to CNU.
Averett, now having two losses is in the same boat with Ferrum. They cannot lose another game, and has to have at least one loss by NCW, and CNU to win the conference
The Shenandoah Hornets are still buzziing around, but are really needing the most help. Everyone ahead of them has to lose their remaining games, and they have to win their next two.
Beyond that I believe the rest of the teams are mathematically eliminated.
So for Ferrum, its not impossible. It will take a lot of help from other teams, but go out there and win....That is the only thing you can control.